Wager
I've been avoiding writing anything about iPhones since the announce, because it's just fuelling the hype that leads ultimately to this kind of meaningless infoporn thrown around by bloggers and companies mud-wrestling for reflected glory - and anyway, now it's even becoming trendy to knock the iPhone as more and more people start to come off the kool aid and spot the probable design flaws.
Instead I'm happy to wait until I'm vindicated, but the one iPhone thing I would like to do is make a relatively substantial wager, say £100, that they will sell fewer than half the number of iPhones Jobs is predicting to actual consumers during the first year of its release. I think putting your money where your mouth is is just so much better than mouthing off in blogs - and I wish I'd done the same with Moto stock a year ago :)
I'll wait to thrash out the exact contractual terms there until someone takes me up on my bet - obviously we're talking devices shipped to users not just dumped into retail channels, and we're also not including any which are returned within the 30 day cool-off period (I suspect there may be many there). I'll accept that if they decide to cut their own throats and massively reduce the price to gain market share, I lose my hundred quid though.
Anyone who'd like to take me up on this get in touch,
Instead I'm happy to wait until I'm vindicated, but the one iPhone thing I would like to do is make a relatively substantial wager, say £100, that they will sell fewer than half the number of iPhones Jobs is predicting to actual consumers during the first year of its release. I think putting your money where your mouth is is just so much better than mouthing off in blogs - and I wish I'd done the same with Moto stock a year ago :)
I'll wait to thrash out the exact contractual terms there until someone takes me up on my bet - obviously we're talking devices shipped to users not just dumped into retail channels, and we're also not including any which are returned within the 30 day cool-off period (I suspect there may be many there). I'll accept that if they decide to cut their own throats and massively reduce the price to gain market share, I lose my hundred quid though.
Anyone who'd like to take me up on this get in touch,
posted by raddedas at 2:36 PM
3 Comments:
For the record I've had one taker so far, David Fanning ex-editor of Macworld (guess no surprise where his loyalties lie then ;)
I'd be willing to take out a second bet though so let me know if you're interested
10:59 AM
I'd like to join your wager ... but on your side. ;-)
One small correction: I believe the money-back period is 14 days (Apple-stylee), as opposed to AT&T's normal 30 days. See this article: http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_26/c4040006.htm#ZZZ5J94SW2F?campaign_id=rss_tech
3:18 PM
I will only join the wage,but not betting against you. I believe the iPhone was overhyped 1 week after I heard about Job's announcement and started to think carefully about it,but it does look good though.
6:41 PM
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